tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 07:46 ORD
    UA 1793 · United · 2h 16m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 ORD → 12:33 RDU
    UA 5326 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 23m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 03mDCA 06:30 to RDU 12:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.