tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 07:46 ORD
    UA 1793 · United · 2h 16m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 11:37 TVC
    UA 5341 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 07mDCA 06:30 to TVC 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.