tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 07:46 ORD
    UA 1793 · United · 2h 16m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 ORD → 11:03 TUL
    UA 5795 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 18m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 33mDCA 06:30 to TUL 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.