tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 07:46 ORD
    UA 1793 · United · 2h 16m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:17 EWR
    UA 1856 · United · 2h 26m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 47mDCA 06:30 to EWR 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.