tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 07:46 ORD
    UA 1793 · United · 2h 16m · 92% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:02 ORD → 11:03 PHX
    UA 2225 · United · 4h 01m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 33mDCA 06:30 to PHX 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.