tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Raleigh/Durham via Houston: arrives on time 77%

  1. 12:05 MSP → 15:00 IAH
    UA 1795 · United · 2h 55m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:08 IAH → 21:59 RDU
    UA 2498 · United · 2h 51m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 54mMSP 12:05 to RDU 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.