tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:12 CVG → 18:50 ORD
    UA 1813 · United · 1h 38m · 47% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ORD → 21:41 MSP
    UA 2005 · United · 1h 44m · 58% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 29mCVG 18:12 to MSP 21:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.