tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 18:12 CVG → 18:50 ORD
    UA 1813 · United · 1h 38m · 47% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ORD → 22:27 PHX
    UA 602 · United · 3h 57m · 70% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 15mCVG 18:12 to PHX 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.