Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Syracuse via Dulles: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:41 ATL → 16:35 IAD
    UA 1831 · United · 1h 54m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 IAD → 19:04 SYR
    UA 4977 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 39m · 77% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 23mATL 14:41 to SYR 19:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.