tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Antonio via Houston: arrives on time 55%

  1. 17:25 TPA → 18:52 IAH
    UA 1834 · United · 2h 27m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 IAH → 21:13 SAT
    UA 1542 · United · 1h 08m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 48mTPA 17:25 to SAT 21:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.