Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Tampa → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 47%
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17:25 TPA → 18:52 IAHUA 1834 · United · 2h 27m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 01m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:53 IAH → 20:42 PHXUA 2078 · United · 2h 49m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled
Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 17mTPA 17:25 to PHX 20:42, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.