tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 00:50 SFO → 07:16 ORD
    UA 1850 · United · 4h 26m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 ORD → 12:56 LGA
    DL 2252 · Delta · 2h 21m · 90% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 06mSFO 00:50 to LGA 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.