tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 00:50 SFO → 07:16 ORD
    UA 1850 · United · 4h 26m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 13:04 DCA
    UA 1381 · United · 2h 04m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 14mSFO 00:50 to DCA 13:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.