tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Chicago: arrives on time 95%

  1. 00:50 SFO → 07:16 ORD
    UA 1850 · United · 4h 26m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 12:55 MSY
    UA 1850 · United · 2h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip10h 05mSFO 00:50 to MSY 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.