tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 00:50 SFO → 07:16 ORD
    UA 1850 · United · 4h 26m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 ORD → 13:26 LGA
    UA 669 · United · 2h 23m · 82% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 36mSFO 00:50 to LGA 13:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.