tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 DSM → 07:40 ORD
    UA 1856 · United · 1h 40m · 93% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 13:04 DCA
    UA 1381 · United · 2h 04m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 04mDSM 06:00 to DCA 13:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.