Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 07:35 FSD → 09:31 ORD
    UA 1857 · United · 1h 56m · 80% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 12:17 MSP
    UA 5684 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 79% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 42mFSD 07:35 to MSP 12:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.