Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Sioux Falls → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 55%
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07:35 FSD → 09:31 ORDUA 1857 · United · 1h 56m · 80% on time, 3.4% cancelled
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54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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10:25 ORD → 12:26 PHXUA 2822 · United · 4h 01m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Sioux Falls). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 51mFSD 07:35 to PHX 12:26, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.