tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Santa Ana via Las Vegas: arrives on time 85%

  1. 12:25 EWR → 14:53 LAS
    UA 1864 · United · 5h 28m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:06 LAS → 19:28 SNA
    DL 4179 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 89% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 03mEWR 12:25 to SNA 19:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.