tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Long Beach via Las Vegas: arrives on time 33%

  1. 12:25 EWR → 14:53 LAS
    UA 1864 · United · 5h 28m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:05 LAS → 19:15 LGB
    WN 1322 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip9h 50mEWR 12:25 to LGB 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.