tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Antonio via Houston: arrives on time 56%

  1. 17:19 MCO → 18:58 IAH
    UA 1872 · United · 2h 39m · 66% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 IAH → 21:13 SAT
    UA 1542 · United · 1h 08m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 54mMCO 17:19 to SAT 21:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.