Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Birmingham via Houston: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:19 MCO → 18:58 IAH
    UA 1872 · United · 2h 39m · 66% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 IAH → 21:53 BHM
    UA 4022 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 58m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 34mMCO 17:19 to BHM 21:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.