tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Denver: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:15 IAH → 06:47 DEN
    UA 1874 · United · 2h 32m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 DEN → 14:28 SDF
    UA 1479 · United · 2h 43m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 13mIAH 05:15 to SDF 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.