Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Newark → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 36%
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11:25 EWR → 13:08 ORDUA 1875 · United · 2h 43m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled
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52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:00 ORD → 17:12 DCAUA 1314 · United · 2h 12m · 56% on time, 2.5% cancelled
Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 47mEWR 11:25 to DCA 17:12, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.