tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:40 AUS → 09:39 ORD
    UA 1878 · United · 2h 59m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:17 EWR
    UA 1856 · United · 2h 26m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 37mAUS 06:40 to EWR 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.