tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:40 AUS → 09:39 ORD
    UA 1878 · United · 2h 59m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 ORD → 15:52 DCA
    UA 752 · United · 2h 07m · 65% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 12mAUS 06:40 to DCA 15:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.