tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:40 AUS → 09:39 ORD
    UA 1878 · United · 2h 59m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:26 ORD → 13:50 CLT
    UA 3450 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 10mAUS 06:40 to CLT 13:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.