Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 28%

  1. 16:59 BNA → 19:00 ORD
    UA 1884 · United · 2h 01m · 57% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 ORD → 21:26 STL
    UA 2144 · United · 1h 31m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 27mBNA 16:59 to STL 21:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.