Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → Santa Ana via Chicago: arrives on time 49%
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14:00 DCA → 15:18 ORDUA 1888 · United · 2h 18m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled
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1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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16:20 ORD → 18:52 SNAUA 1107 · United · 4h 32m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 52mDCA 14:00 to SNA 18:52, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.