Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 38%
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14:00 DCA → 15:18 ORDUA 1888 · United · 2h 18m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled
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47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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16:05 ORD → 18:32 SANUA 745 · United · 4h 27m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 32mDCA 14:00 to SAN 18:32, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.