tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Tampa via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:15 EWR → 08:56 RDU
    UA 1890 · United · 1h 41m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:28 RDU → 12:23 TPA
    F9 2729 · Frontier · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 08mEWR 07:15 to TPA 12:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.