tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dulles via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:15 EWR → 08:56 RDU
    UA 1890 · United · 1h 41m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:32 RDU → 11:43 IAD
    UA 1535 · United · 1h 11m · 90% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 28mEWR 07:15 to IAD 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.