tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Rapid City via Denver: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:05 MSP → 10:21 DEN
    UA 1891 · United · 2h 16m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 DEN → 14:46 RAP
    UA 5556 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 41mMSP 09:05 to RAP 14:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.