tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sacramento via Denver: arrives on time 82%

  1. 09:05 MSP → 10:21 DEN
    UA 1891 · United · 2h 16m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 DEN → 15:10 SMF
    UA 662 · United · 2h 35m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 05mMSP 09:05 to SMF 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.