tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:47 MSP → 11:29 ORD
    UA 1929 · United · 1h 42m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 ORD → 16:41 BUF
    UA 2226 · United · 1h 46m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 54mMSP 09:47 to BUF 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.