tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 77%

  1. 08:26 IAD → 10:49 SAN
    UA 1930 · United · 5h 23m · 94% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:30 SAN → 14:10 OAK
    AS 3218 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 44mIAD 08:26 to OAK 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.