tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kahului via San Francisco: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 06:54 SFO
    UA 1954 · United · 54m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:23 SFO → 11:47 OGG
    AS 979 · Alaska · 5h 24m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip8h 47mSMF 06:00 to OGG 11:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.