tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Nashville via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 86%

  1. 23:59 SFO → 08:21 RDU
    UA 1965 · United · 5h 22m · 77% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 RDU → 11:15 BNA +1 day
    WN 684 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 16mSFO 23:59 to BNA 11:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.