Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Chicago via Newark: arrives on time 39%

  1. 11:15 LAX → 19:30 EWR
    UA 1981 · United · 5h 15m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 EWR → 22:06 ORD
    UA 546 · United · 2h 47m · 69% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 51mLAX 11:15 to ORD 22:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.