tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Dulles via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 12:30 MIA → 15:13 ORD
    UA 1983 · United · 3h 43m · 82% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:12 ORD → 21:22 IAD
    UA 2202 · United · 2h 10m · 57% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip8h 52mMIA 12:30 to IAD 21:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.