tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Anchorage via Dulles: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:08 EWR → 16:32 IAD
    UA 1992 · United · 1h 24m · 68% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:43 IAD → 21:21 ANC
    UA 2073 · United · 7h 38m · 74% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip10h 13mEWR 15:08 to ANC 21:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.