tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Portland via Dulles: arrives on time 53%

  1. 15:08 EWR → 16:32 IAD
    UA 1992 · United · 1h 24m · 68% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 IAD → 20:19 PDX
    UA 780 · United · 5h 39m · 72% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 11mEWR 15:08 to PDX 20:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.