tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 90%

  1. 09:00 ORD → 11:38 PDX
    UA 1994 · United · 4h 38m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:48 PDX → 17:19 SNA
    AS 264 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 19mORD 09:00 to SNA 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.