Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Raleigh/Durham via Dulles: arrives on time 48%

  1. 19:05 MCO → 21:30 IAD
    UA 1997 · United · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 IAD → 23:44 RDU
    UA 2382 · United · 1h 19m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 39mMCO 19:05 to RDU 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.