Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Francisco via Dulles: arrives on time 50%

  1. 19:05 MCO → 21:30 IAD
    UA 1997 · United · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:21 IAD → 01:15 SFO +1 day
    UA 367 · United · 5h 54m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 10mMCO 19:05 to SFO 01:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.