tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 88%

  1. 08:45 IAD → 10:28 MSP
    UA 1998 · United · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:55 MSP → 15:38 DTW
    DL 1519 · Delta · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 53mIAD 08:45 to DTW 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.