Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Chicago via Newark: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:10 BZN → 19:33 EWR
    UA 2003 · United · 4h 23m · 78% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 EWR → 22:06 ORD
    UA 546 · United · 2h 47m · 69% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 56mBZN 13:10 to ORD 22:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.