tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:09 PNS → 16:52 ORD
    UA 2005 · United · 2h 43m · 71% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ORD → 21:19 PHL
    UA 1776 · United · 2h 20m · 61% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 10mPNS 14:09 to PHL 21:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.