tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Harrisburg via Philadelphia: arrives on time 82%

  1. 07:15 ORD → 10:30 PHL
    UA 2038 · United · 2h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:55 PHL → 14:00 MDT
    AA 5963 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 05m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Harrisburg is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 45mORD 07:15 to MDT 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.