Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → San Francisco via Kansas City: arrives on time 17%

  1. 17:15 IAD → 19:03 MCI
    UA 2057 · United · 2h 48m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 MCI → 21:50 SFO
    UA 1429 · United · 3h 51m · 24% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (24%).
Total trip7h 35mIAD 17:15 to SFO 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.